Poll results from a scientific poll

Aug 27, 2025 Letters

Dear Editor,

I wish to extend my sincere gratitude to Stabroek News for its article dated August 25, 2025, titled “Analysis: Three-way race seen for elections.”. It was a timely and comprehensive assessment of Guyana’s political landscape before the September general elections.

In connection with this, I was privileged to review the results of a poll conducted across all ten regions of Guyana by a group of University of Guyana students, with funding support from a private New York–based organization currently exploring investment opportunities in the country.

The purpose of the poll was to capture a truly representative snapshot of the electorate, ensuring the voices of all segments of society—irrespective of wealth, age, education, ethnicity, or political experience—were heard. A total of 4,900 individuals were interviewed, with demographic weighting guided by data from the Bureau of Statistics. The aggregated responses are summarized in the table provided.

Key Findings

PPPC is projected to secure victory with 212,411 votes (44%), positioning it to retain the Presidency but not the majority in the National Assembly.
APNU is expected to receive 164,878 votes (34%), thereby maintaining its role as the main opposition and securing the spot as the Leader of the Opposition.
WIN, the newest entrant into Guyana’s political sphere, is projected to achieve an impressive 99,724 votes (21%)—a remarkable outcome for a first-time party.
AFC and smaller parties are collectively expected to secure 7,395 votes (just over 1%).

If translated into seats, these results suggest a new National Assembly configured broadly along these lines.

Preliminary Interpretation of the Results

Valid votes are expected to rise by 5% from 2020, mainly in the hinterland. Region 6 (Corentyne) shows minimal growth, likely due to migration to North America over the past five years.
APNU is projected to lose about 53,000 votes to WIN; PPPC about 19,000. WIN also draws primarily from first-time voters in 2025.
Historical significance: WIN’s projected near-100,000 votes represent an unprecedented breakthrough for a new party in Guyana. By comparison, only the United Force (TUF) in 1964 (≈28,000 votes) and the AFC in 2011 (≈33,333 votes) previously achieved significant disruption of the two-party dominance.
Youth and poverty factors: WIN’s momentum surpasses the AFC’s 2011 peak largely due to strong support among voters aged 18–34 and amid high national poverty levels (≈40%). Many respondents expressed deep dissatisfaction with both APNU (criticized for signing the Exxon oil contract) and the PPPC (accused of failing to renegotiate terms). WIN’s appeal, they reported, is driven by its philanthropic record and the credibility of its leadership, particularly Mr. Mohamed, whom they view as a leader who delivers on promises.

Voters’ Main Concerns

Respondents highlighted three pressing issues shaping their choices in 2025:

Persistent and high food inflation and the escalating cost-of-living.
Weaknesses within the police force and rising crime.
Endemic corruption within the public service, where too few benefit disproportionately from national resources.

I trust this piece can be debated constructively.

Sincerely,

Khemraj Harryram

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Guyana Elections, Khemraj Harryram, political landscape, Poll results, scientific poll

One thought on “Poll results from a scientific poll ”

Bhagwandass August 29, 2025 at 1:02 am

This is just a futuristic forecast of based on historical track records of the PPP – we ought to await final final count down after the Sept 3rd to see the victory candidate full stop

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