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Dem boys seh uncle Donald want he five year ting

Jun 20, 2013 Freddie Kissoon

“Who says Uncle Donald want a snap poll?” Yuk gat fuh be joking maan! Uncle Donald ain’t going nowhere. Uncle Donald staying pon he throne till he five years done. If there is any policy Donald Ramotar is going to oppose the PPP on, it is the snap poll.
The presidential subordinates can make policies without even telling the President and he will not remonstrate with them. Some of the junior dwellers in the kingdom like Ashni Singh, Anil Nandlall, Priya Manickchand and Irfaan Ali will be bold enough and they have been impertinent enough to shape policies that perhaps never had the ear of the boss. But on the question of a midterm general election, Donald Ramotar will be inflexible.
Perhaps there may have been contemplations in that direction in the early months of his rule, but since 2013 and the relentless drift of the PPP’s ship into the sea of the unknown, Mr. Ramotar is not going to take chances. Social and political indicators support Mr. Ramotar’s fears.
There isn’t a chance in 2014 or even in the beginning of 2016 that sugar will see a turn around. The PPP’s physiology was driven by sugar. Jagan became a hero because of sugar. The PPP achieved ethnic and political hegemony because of sugar. Sugar kept the PPP alive.
If the machine that is pumping blood to your heart collapses, you will go with it. No machine, no blood to the heart. This is the perfect analogy for the PPP and its future in power. Sugar is bleeding and with it are the sugar workers and their families.
One has to remember that the sugar industry is not about thirty thousand cane cutters. It is about far more than 30, 000. It is the mountainous numbers that benefit from the viability of the industry.
Mr. Ramotar may not be a strong intellectual thinker but he knows full well that the gamble on an early election while sugar is swimming in a monstrous vortex is a deadly one. He is not going to take that risk.
There are four sets of attitudes in the PPP about a snap poll. One group wants it because that group argues that with each passing day the post 2011 configuration is weakening the PPP and things they very well drift too far. They feel that with money, resources and extensive media usage, the PPP could win back a majority and they feel that PPP has all of that in bountiful supply.
This quarter consists of the inflexible, unintellectual, Stalinist apparatchiks. They have no respect for reality. They feel the loss in 2011 was not the PPP’s fault and the ground can be regained. The second quarter is an unsure bunch. They are not adding to the debate in Freedom House about early elections. They feel it could go either way – the PPP wins or it secures the plurality again but not a majority.
If push comes to shove, this group will probably vote with the Stalinists. Mr. Ramotar leads the third column. As President, he wants his five-year tenure. He is unsure about his nomination if there is a midterm election. He knows he is going to get a passionate fight to secure the nomination. But equally important, Ramotar doesn’t believe in the victory march. He is unsure of a PPP victory given the rising disenchantment.
Finally, there are the young Turks. They are scaring Mr. Ramotar. They want elections as soon as now. Gargantuan ambition drives these newcomers. Each one of them wants to be President. Each one feels that Jagdeo and Ramotar caused the PPP to lose a majority but that their youthfulness can bring back the percentage that went to Nagamootoo.
The young monsters are a crudely optimistic species. Despite the graphic exposure of their venalities, immoralities and corruptibility, they are so contemptuous of East Indians that they feel they can win back the alienated and disaffected in Berbice and elsewhere.
In the end there will be no snap poll. Mr. Ramotar is going to say no. They will try to persuade him; they will argue with him but he will have his five-year tenure. There will be no serious attempt to undermine Mr. Ramotar because the other three cabals know that if they start a confrontation with Mr. Ramotar it could lead to implosion and they all stand to lose in such a scenario.
The Ramotar group knows that once Ramotar doesn’t stop the runaway train of corruption, the PPP will not win. And Ramotar will not stop that train. Even if he wants to, he cannot.

 

 

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