We can no longer expect the rainy season to end in June

Apr 12, 2010 Letters

Dear Editor,

I always wonder if the Met Office is really in touch with weather and the realities of weather in this country. A report (SN 08-04-10) captioned, “Rain, cloudy conditions expected for the next two weeks” outlined a prediction by these people that, in a nutshell, there will be an intense May-August rainy season.

I say August because, realistically, we can no longer expect the rainy season to end in June as was customary. It does not. The Atlantic Hurricane season begins on June 30 and that is when all the super storms will be passing Guyana, brushing our coastland in their paths, dumping a few millimeters of rain here and there with thunder and lightening. I will get to the hurricanes and their impact this year on us in Guyana in a moment.

But in one of my letters a few weeks ago about El Nino, I said that this period of dry spell will be followed by an intense rainy season, one that we are beginning to feel at the moment. But our Met Office seems not to be thankful at all for this rescue of rain to our parched Guyana.

The farmers must be rejoicing but not Met Office at Timehri. I quote from the SN article, “The Met Office in a six-day weather brief stated that cloudy skies may prevail tomorrow and conditions are predicted to improve by Friday with sunny skies….” Improve??? One would naturally and logically believe that any improvement in the weather these days would be a welcoming saga of rainfall every day for the next week or so.

Our lands are so parched and dry. Plants are dying, animals and humans are suffering. The days have been extremely hot, sandy and dry. The sun has been at its worst — 35% Celsius heat! This was an El Nino out of the ordinary! Yet the Hydromet service is predicting weather to improve with sunny skies and maybe more dry weather for the next week or so.

Then, “Guyana is predicted to experience rainfall over the next three days with sunny conditions over the weekend through Tuesday but weather conditions may deteriorate from Wednesday…”

They use the exact opposite term “deteriorate” to associate the change in weather with rain. The weather deteriorates, meaning it will rain. Well the farmers and persons suffering from the El Nino would see the rain as an improvement rather than deterioration in the weather, if you know what I mean.

I hope, though, that we are all prepared for a very length rainy season — a La Nina – the opposite to El Nino phenomenon. The Hurricane Centre in the US has already made its predictions that there will be four major destructive humongous hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean this summer. They are projected to cause extreme damages to the coastlines they visit.

If last year (2009) was one of the most quiet hurricane seasons in the Atlantic Ocean, then be prepared for a real awakening this 2010. The waters are warm enough and the conditions are right for the formation of several super storm systems.

There is a 69% chance that any of the four major storms will make landfall on the U.S. There will be four other storms, in addition to the major ones.

These storm systems will be brushing at our coastland here in Guyana in the form of tropical waves and tropical depressions. Our sister Caribbean islands need to be on heightened alert. Places like Haiti and Jamaica are the known hot-spots for these super-sized storms.

Leon J. Suseran

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