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As NACTA predicted, PNM won Tobago

Jan 27, 2009 Letters

Dear Editor,
Your daily columnist Freddie Kissoon is on record discrediting the polls of NACTA, saying that NACTA does not exist and does not conduct polls, and pollster Vishnu Bisram is not a pollster and does not teach anywhere.
I wish to bring to the attention of Mr. Kissoon that NACTA correctly predicted the outcome of the recent elections in Tobago.
Tobago went to the polls on January 19, to choose a new assembly to govern the island. As predicted by the NACTA polling outfit, the PNM won the elections.
A series of tracking surveys conducted by NACTA predicted the incumbent Chief Secretary Orville London, leader of the Tobago unit of the PNM, would win re-election and that his ruling party would win eight of the 12 seats up for grabs, losing three of the seats it held going into the election.
The results of the election mirror the findings of the NACTA poll.  Another pollster predicted a 7-5 victory or a 6-6 tie.  The seats he predicted the PNM would lose saw the PNM winning by huge majorities, as NACTA found in its polls.  So the pollster was wrong. The Tobago polls were conducted by Vishnu Bisram.
The findings of the polls were published in all of the Trinidad newspapers. In Tobago, early polls from August through November had the PNM ahead 9-3 over the opposition TOP; but in December, the tracking poll found PNM began losing ground. But the party’s hold on office was not threatened.
In early January, the poll’s findings had the PNM ahead 8-4, with the four opposition seats being toss-ups that could go either way.  The actual outcome saw the PNM retaining office 8-4.
The NACTA poll also found close outcomes in several seats, and landslides in four seats. That was the actual outcome.  The opposition won one seat by 5 votes, another by 60 votes, and another by 100 votes.
The NACTA poll found that the PNM had lost support since the last election in January 2005, when it polled almost 60%, projecting popular support for the PNM at about 54%.  The actual voting saw PNM winning 53%.
Vishnu Bisram

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